December 2004 UCLA Anderson Forecast Conference

The UCLA Anderson Forecast
presents the quarterly economic forecast conference

One Year of Arnold:
Has the Feature Lived Up to the Trailers?

Korn Convocation Hall
UCLA Anderson School of Management
December 8, 2004
7:30am - 12:00pm
Conference Fee: $350

7:30am - 8:00am	Check-In and Continental Breakfast

8:00am - 8:10am	Welcome and Opening Remarks
	Edward Leamer, Director, UCLA Anderson Forecast

8:10am - 9:40am	The Economic Forecast for the Nation, State and Region
	Is the National economy teetering on the edge of another recession? Or is it just a soft patch on the path for another record expansion like we had in the 1990s? What matters now? Is it oil prices? The real estate bubble? Inflation or terrorism? Now that we have chosen our next President, what does it mean for the budget and the economy? What does a national slowdown mean fot the State? Will the Bay Area recovery be snuffed out? Will So-Cal continue to lead the nation in growth?
	Edward Leamer, Director, UCLA Anderson Forecast (National Forecast)
	Michael Bazdarich, Senior Economist, UCLA Anderson Forecast (Fed Policy)
	Christopher Thornberg, Senior Economist, UCLA Anderson Forecast (State & Regional Forecasts)
	Michael Bazdarich, Senior Economist, UCLA Anderson Forecast (California Budget)

9:40am - 9:55am	Questions and Answers

9:55am - 10:40am	The Budget Situation
	What can be done? Will investors continue to fund California's budget gaps? What will the ongoing money squeeze mean for the economy?
	Moderator:
	Evan Halper, Los Angeles Times

	Panelists:
	David E. Janssen, Chief Administrative Officer, Los Angeles County
	Daniel J.B. Mitchell, Ho-So Wu Chair in Management, UCLA Anderson School of Management
	Brad Williams, Director of Fiscal Forecasting and Budget Overview, Legislative Analyst's Office

10:40am - 10:50am	Budget Q & A Session

10:50am - 11:05pm	Break

11:05pm - 11:50am	Policy & Politics
	Anti-business. A failing education system. Crumbling infrastructure. The challenges facing California may be as much an image problem as it is a true reflection of the condition of the golden state. What has the current administration done to change the path the state is on? What do people think?
	Moderator:
	Edward Leamer,Director, UCLA Anderson Forecast

	Panelists:
	Mark Baldassare, Director of Research, Public Policy Institute of California
	Keith Richman, 38th District Assemblymember, California State Assembly
	Richard Riordan, Secretary of Education, State of California

11:50am - 12:00pm	Policy Q & A Session

12:00pm	Conference Adjourns

Check back again for program updates.