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UCLA Anderson Forecast presents
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SEPTEMBER 2012 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
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Special Topic: Presidential Economics: Does it Matter?
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Speakers Bios |
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Edward E. Leamer, Director, UCLA Anderson Forecast
Edward Leamer is the Chauncey J. Medberry Professor of Management, Professor of Economics and Professor of Statistics at UCLA. He received a B.A. degree in mathematics from Princeton University and a Ph.D. degree in economics and an M.A. degree in mathematics from the University of Michigan. After serving as Assistant and Associate Professor at Harvard University he joined the University of California at Los Angeles in 1975 as Professor of Economics and served as Chair from 1983 to 1987. In 1990 he moved to the Anderson Graduate School of Management and was appointed to the Chauncey J. Medberry Chair. Professor Leamer is a Fellow of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, and a Fellow of the Econometric Society. He is a Research Associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research and a visiting scholar at the International Monetary Fund and the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Dr. Leamer has published over 100 articles and 4 books. This research has been supported by continuous grants for over 25 years from the National Science Foundation, the Sloan Foundation and the Russell Sage Foundation. His research papers in econometrics have been collected in Sturdy Econometrics, published in the Edward Elgar Series of Economists of the 20th Century. His research in international economics and econometric methodology has been discussed in a chapter written by Herman Leonard and Keith Maskus in New Horizons in Economic Thought: Appraisals of Leading Economists. Recent research interests of Professor Leamer include the North American Free Trade Agreement, the dismantling of the Swedish welfare state, the economic integration of Eastern Europe, Taiwan and the Mainland, and the impact of globalization on the U.S. economy.
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David Shulman, Senior Economist, UCLA Anderson Forecast
David Shulman is currently managing member of his own LLC and engages in educational and charitable activities, including being a Distinguished Visiting Professor at Baruch College and a Visiting Professor at the University of Wisconsin. Dr. Shulman is currently a member of NAREIT’s Real Estate Investment Advisory Council. He blogs at Shulmaven.blogspot.com. Shulman received a bachelor’s degree from Baruch College in 1965, an MBA in 1966 from the Graduate School of Management at UCLA; and his Ph.D. in 1975 with a specialization in Finance.
From 1986 to 1997, Dr. Shulman was employed by Salomon Brothers Inc. in various capacities. He was their director of real estate research from 1987 to 1991 and became Chief Equity Strategist from 1992 to 1997. As Chief Equity Strategist, he was responsible for developing the firms overall equity market view and maintaining their list of recommended stocks. Dr. Shulman was widely quoted in print and electronic media and he coined the terms “Goldilocks Economy” and “New Paradigm Economy.” In 1991, he was named a Managing Director; and in 1990, he won the First Annual Graaskamp Award for Excellence in real estate research from the Pension Real Estate Association.
In March 2005, Dr. Shulman retired from Lehman Brothers, where he was Managing Director and head Real Estate Investment Trust Analyst.Before joining Lehman Brothers in 2000, he was a member and Senior Vice President at Ulysses Management LLC from 1998-1999, an Investment Manager of a private investment partnership and an offshore corporation, whose investment capital approximated $1 billion at the end of 1999.
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Jerry Nickelsburg, Senior Economist, UCLA Anderson Forecast
Jerry Nickelsburg joined the UCLA Anderson Forecast in 2006 as a Senior Economist. At the Anderson Forecast he plays a key role in the economic modeling and forecasting of the National, and California economies and the Los Angeles, Bay Area and Southern California economies. He has conducted special studies into the future of manufacturing in Los Angeles, the distribution of income, the economic impact of the writer’s strike, the aerospace industry, the undocumented construction and manufacturing labor force, the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach and the garment industry, focusing on the development of new data and the application of economic theory and statistical methods to sectoral issues. His current academic research is on organizational and individual learning in manufacturing , and on the balance of trade. He is a regular presenter at Economic Conferences and has been cited in the national and local media including the Financial Times, Wall Street Jounal, New York Times, Los Angeles Times, Reuters, Variety, CBS, NBC, PBS, and L.A. Business Journal.
He received his Ph.D. in economics from the University of Minnesota in 1980 specializing in monetary economics and econometrics. He was formerly a professor of Economics at the University of Southern California and has held executive positions with McDonnell Douglas, Flight Safety International, and Flight Safety Boeing during a fifteen year span in the aviation business. He also held a position with the Federal Reserve Board of Governors developing forecasting tools, and has advised banks, investors and financial institutions.
From 2000 to 2006, he was the Managing Principal of Deep Blue Economics, a consulting firm he founded. He has been the recipient of the Korda Fellowship, USC Outstanding Teacher, India Chamber of Commerce Jubilee Lecturer and is a Fulbright Scholar. He has published over 40 articles on monetary economics, econometrics, aviation economics, and industrial organization.
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William Yu,Economist
William Yu joined the UCLA Anderson Forecast in 2011 as an economist. At Forecast he focuses on the economic modeling and forecasting of Los Angeles and other regional economies in California. He also conducts research and forecast on Asian emerging economies, especially China, and their impacts on the US economy. His research interests include a wide range of economic and financial issues, such as time series econometrics, stock, bond and commodity price dynamics, public health, human capital, higher education, and economic sustainability. He has published over a dozen research articles in Journal of Forecasting, International Journal of Forecasting, Journal of International Money and Finance, Journal of Health Care Finance, Journal of Education Finance, Economic Affairs, and Global Economic Review, etc. He has also served as a reviewer for various journals, such as Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, Journal of Banking and Finance, Japan and the World Economy, and Energy Journal, etc.
He received his bachelor’s degree in finance from National Taiwan University in 1995 and was an analyst in Fubon Financial Holding in Taipei from 1997 to 2000. In 2006, he received his Ph.D. degree in economics from the University of Washington where he was also an economics instructor and won two distinguished teaching awards. In 2006, he worked for the Frank Russell Investment Group for Treasury and corporate yields modeling and forecasting. From 2006 to 2011, he served as an assistant and an associate professor of economics at Winona State University where he taught courses including international economics, forecasting methods, intermediate macroeconomics, introductory macroeconomics, money and banking, and Asian economies. He also served on the board of directors for the Minnesota Economic Association from 2007 to 2010.
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